Florida’s Lower COVID Death Rate Than California
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and California Governor Gavin Newsom sparred during a Fox News debate over their handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Governor DeSantis touted a study published in the Lancet that showed Florida had a lower standardized COVID death rate than California when adjusted for factors such as age and underlying illness. Critics of strict public health measures seized on this finding as proof that lockdowns, masking, and social distancing were unnecessary. However, the lead author of the study warns against misinterpreting the results.
Florida’s Aggressive Early Policies and Residents’ Compliance
The study’s lead author, Thomas J. Bollyky, explains that Governor DeSantis implemented aggressive nursing home policies, testing, and gathering restrictions early on in the pandemic. Florida also promoted vaccination among the elderly, which contributed to the state’s comparatively low death rate. Furthermore, residents continued to adopt cautious behaviors, such as staying home and wearing masks, even after health mandates were lifted. Through mid-2022, Floridians ranked highly in vaccine coverage, mask use, and reduced mobility compared to pre-pandemic times.
Florida’s Mixed Approach and Changing Messaging
Governor DeSantis took several steps to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, including isolating patients in nursing homes, closing schools, and discouraging gatherings. However, he also faced criticism for discouraging COVID-19 vaccinations and downplaying the effectiveness of masks. While some local governments and residents in Florida took precautions, such as mask mandates and vaccination requirements, DeSantis moved to prohibit vaccine mandates and strike down mask mandates. The governor’s messaging evolved over time, emphasizing “medical freedom” and questioning the safety and efficacy of vaccines.
Comparing COVID Death Rates and Economic Impact
Comparing COVID death rates between Florida and California is complicated due to different calculation methods. When adjusted for age and chronic illness rates, Florida had a lower standardized death rate than California. However, California’s population is younger, which affects the age-adjusted statistics. It is important to note that multiple factors contribute to COVID death rates, and it is challenging to draw direct comparisons between states.
A study published in the Lancet also found that pandemic policies did not have a significant impact on state gross domestic product (GDP) or employment. Health mandates, such as stay-at-home orders, gathering restrictions, and mask mandates, did not show associations with lower GDP or employment at the state level. The study also noted that primary school closures during the pandemic did not necessarily lead to significant learning losses, as test score declines were similar in states with both long and short school closures.
A Nuanced Perspective on Florida’s Pandemic Response
While Florida’s overall performance during the pandemic may be debated, it is important to consider the full context. The Lancet study covered 2½ years, and judging Florida solely on a specific period would be incomplete. The study emphasizes that Florida implemented effective measures early on and highlights the role of the population’s continued adherence to public health practices. Critically analyzing the data and recognizing the efforts of both officials and residents is crucial in understanding the Florida story during the COVID-19 pandemic.
